Well. That didn't last long.
- joebargiel
- 2 days ago
- 3 min read

The world is roiling from the news that China is backing away from the United States and Donald Trump's tariff truce. And as is predicted, markets are reacting negatively, just after a resurgence on the basis of an olive branch between the two economic superpowers.
At the core of the issue, China does not like the U.S.'s Golden Dome missile defense strategy as a military endeavor. However, in reality this revelation strikes at the economic core of China's satellite-based internet strategy, where weeks before, Starlink launched hundreds of satellites into space.
What does this mean? Well, China was expecting a groundswell of economic growth, on the basis of providing space-based internet to developing countries and cornering the market among the developed, where in the U.S., the internet services are a form of a "space race".
The issue with a one-dimensional view of low-earth orbit (which is where these satellites operate) is that it will become congested with satellite traffic, and A.I. is deployed for, amongst many thing, collision avoidance. Couple that with the curtailments of semiconductors and restriction of materials and high-performing computers, and well, you'll see that economic risk is now becoming a national security risk under the Trump Administration 2.0.
And I cannot entirely disagree, as planned or semi-planned states usually tie their political agendas to their economic development in a way that becomes a counter-maneuver to private economic forces. In other ways, the World Trade Organization is only modestly effective at addressing trade issues, specifically nontariff barriers to trade, of which China and the U.S. have had longstanding gripes lodged.
The reintroduction of tariffs by both sides at this point to a relationship that is getting icier-however, we must not forget that the Trump Tariffs on China and vice-versa have been in place for nearly a decade now, of which the key elements for low earth orbit economic dominance are clearly a target by the China, which the U.S. is stifling. The world has adapted to these tariffs being a fact of economic life.
What isn't a fact of this world is a military buildup, or at least what China is accusing Trump of doing. Trump is well aware of China's negotiation by encroachment style, however, Starlink as well as other space-based services can be blocked in times of conflict. Therefore, it stands to reason that a military countermeasure is not out of the question.
What is abnormal though, is China's reaction. China appears to be the complainant, indicating that their intent is to garner the world's sympathy. What we didn't know at the time of China's Vision 2030 manifesto, was that all while the documents were under our noses they were really looking up to the sky---that's what all the quantum computing was really all about in the first place.
Like the U.S., China also has its own Space Force. Clearly, this step is viewed not only through a contemporary lens, but a future one as well. The reason navies exist on earth are partially to protect commercial fleets from pirates. And let's be blunt, the difference between a peaceful rocket and an ICBM is not all that much...after all, most modern space programs come from strapping people into V2 ballistic rockets and shooting them into space. And with commercial space traffic becoming virtually a weekly affair, orbit is going to become crowded quickly.
It's just a matter of how countries are going to respond when satellites start bumping into each other.
Comments